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Complex dynamics in a nonlinear duopoly model with heuristic expectation formation and learning behavior
Mignot, Sarah; Tramontana, Fabio; Westerhoff, Frank (2024): Complex dynamics in a nonlinear duopoly model with heuristic expectation formation and learning behavior, in: Annals of operations research, Dordrecht [u.a.]: Springer, Jg. 337, Nr. 3, S. 809–834, doi: 10.1007/s10479-023-05497-x.
Faculty/Chair:
Author:
Title of the Journal:
Annals of operations research
ISSN:
0254-5330
1572-9338
Publisher Information:
Year of publication:
2024
Volume:
337
Issue:
3
Pages:
Language:
English
Abstract:
We develop a nonlinear duopoly model in which the heuristic expectation formation and learning behavior of two boundedly rational firms may engender complex dynamics. Most importantly, we assume that the firms employ different forecasting models to predict the behavior of their opponent. Moreover, the firms learn by leaning more strongly on forecasting models that yield more precise predictions. An eight-dimensional nonlinear map drives the dynamics of our approach. We analytically derive the conditions under which its unique steady state is locally stable and numerically study its out-of-equilibrium behavior. In doing so, we detect multiple scenarios with coexisting attractors at which the firms’ behavior yields distinctively different market outcomes.
GND Keywords: ;  ;  ;  ;  ; 
Dyopol
Mikroökonomisches Modell
Nichtlineare Dynamik
Verzweigung <Mathematik>
Erwartungsbildung
Lernverhalten
Keywords: ;  ;  ;  ;  ; 
Duopoly model
Heuristic expectation formation
Learning behavior
Nonlinear dynamics
Stability and bifurcation analysis
Coexisting attractors
DDC Classification:
RVK Classification:
Type:
Article
Activation date:
September 27, 2024
Project(s):
Versioning
Question on publication
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https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/98437