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Boom–bust cycles and asset market participation waves : Momentum, value, risk, and herding
Dieci, Roberto; Schmitt, Noemi; Westerhoff, Frank (2025): Boom–bust cycles and asset market participation waves : Momentum, value, risk, and herding, in: Journal of evolutionary economics, Berlin ; Heidelberg ; New York: Springer, Jg. 35, Nr. 3, S. 513–551, doi: 10.1007/s00191-025-00905-w.
Faculty/Chair:
Author:
Title of the Journal:
Journal of evolutionary economics
ISSN:
1432-1386
0936-9937
Publisher Information:
Year of publication:
2025
Volume:
35
Issue:
3
Pages:
Language:
English
Abstract:
We develop an asset market participation model in which investors base their market entry decisions on the momentum, value and risk of the market. Despite our behavioral framework, the model’s fundamental steady state is characterized by standard present-value relations between expected future payouts and the model-implied risk-adjusted return. We derive conditions under which endogenous asset market participation waves and co-evolving boom–bust cycles emerge. Moreover, we show that the asset market may display spontaneous, sharp, and permanent downturns if investors react sensitively to risk, an outcome that goes hand in hand with low asset market participation rates and excess volatility.
Keywords: ; ; ; ; ;
Boom–bust cycles
Asset market participation waves
Momentum
Value and risk
Herding behavior
Feedback loops
DDC Classification:
Type:
Article
Activation date:
August 27, 2025
Project(s):
Versioning
Question on publication
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https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/109876