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Survival and the ergodicity of corporate profitability
Mundt, Philipp; Alfarano, Simone; Milaković, Mishael (2025): Survival and the ergodicity of corporate profitability, Bamberg: Otto-Friedrich-Universität, doi: 10.20378/irb-109457.
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Year of publication:
2025
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Survival and the ergodicity of corporate profitability, Bamberg: Otto-Friedrich-Universität, 2020, 24 Seiten, ISBN: 978-3-943153-83-5
Year of first publication:
2020
Language:
English
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Abstract:
The cross-sectional variation in corporate profitability has occupied research across fields as diverse as strategic management, industrial organization, finance, and accounting. Prior work suggests that corporate idiosyncrasies are important determinants of profitability, but it disagrees on the quantitative importance of particular effects. This paper shows that corporate specificities become irrelevant in the long run because profitability is ergodic conditional on survival, leading to a uniform, time-invariant regularity in profitability that applies across firms. Conditional on survival, we cannot reject the hypothesis that corporations are on average equally profitable and also experience equally volatile fluctuations in their profitability, irrespective of their individual characteristics. Since the same is not true for shorterlived firms, even for more than twenty years after entry, we can reconcile our findings with an extensive literature that studies profitability in heterogeneous samples of surviving and shorter-lived firms. Our findings provide a new benchmark for longterm performance in competitive environments, and offer a novel perspective by highlighting a robust commonality instead of specificities.
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Performance
dynamic competition
corporate strategy
stochastic differential equation
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Type:
Workingpaper
Activation date:
August 4, 2025
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https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/109457