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Time matters : on the predictive power of current, short- and long-term expected valence in an experience based learning task
Jäger, Daniel Thomas; Rüsseler, Jascha (2025): Time matters : on the predictive power of current, short- and long-term expected valence in an experience based learning task, in: Frontiers in psychology, Lausanne: Frontiers Research Foundation, Jg. 16, Nr. 1570369, S. 1–15, doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1570369.
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Title of the Journal:
Frontiers in psychology
ISSN:
1664-1078
Publisher Information:
Year of publication:
2025
Volume:
16
Issue:
1570369
Pages:
Language:
English
Abstract:
This study investigates the predictive power of current, short-, and long-term expected valence in decision-making within an experience-based learning task. Across two experiments participants engaged in a gambling task where they had to balance short- and long-term outcomes to maximize gains. In Experiment 1 participants had to accept short-term losses to achieve long-term gains, while in Experiment 2 they had to omit short-term gains. Results from generalized mixed-effects models revealed that all three valence constructs (current, short-term, and long-term expected valence) were significant predictors of risky choices, with their influence modulated by the specific choice context. In a loss context participants relied more on short-term expectations, while in an omission context long-term expectations played a stronger role. These findings align with existing literature on the influence of emotional valence on decision-making and demonstrate the adaptability of the subjective valuation system across different choice scenarios. The study highlights the importance of considering multiple emotional self-report dimensions in decision-making processes.
Keywords: ; ; ; ; ;
current valence
expected valence
subjective value
loss aversion
framing efects
recurrent decisions
Type:
Article
Activation date:
October 20, 2025
Project(s):
Versioning
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https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/110879