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The Perverse Valuation Effect on Mergers and Acquisitions in Europe
Röhrer, Fabio E.G.; Mateane, Lebogang; Proaño, Christian R. (2026): The Perverse Valuation Effect on Mergers and Acquisitions in Europe, in: Bamberg: Otto-Friedrich-Universität, S. 1–11.
Author:
By:
... ; Proaño, Christian R.
Publisher Information:
Year of publication:
2026
Pages:
Source/Other editions:
Economic Modelling, Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2025, Jg. 142, Nr. 106928, S. 1–11, ISSN: 1873-6122
Year of first publication:
2025
Language:
English
Abstract:
We investigate the macroeconomic and financial determinants of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in Europe and address the gap in understanding how financial market dynamics influence corporate decisions. While previous literature has examined macroeconomic factors affecting M&A, the impact of (10-year government) bond yields remains underexplored. We fill this gap using panel data of 21 European Union Countries over 2006:Q1–2022:Q2. Across different model specifications we find that bond yields and real gross domestic product growth are robust determinants of M&A, even after controlling for other determinants. A novelty of our study is that rising and higher bond yields are associated with a reduction in M&A activity because investors are shifting their portfolios out of bonds and into riskier assets like equities, thereby increasing acquisition costs. We denote this as a “perverse valuation effect” offering new insights into M&A dynamics.
Keywords: ; ; ;
Mergers and Acquisitions
Macroeconomy and Financial Markets
Long-term government bond yields
European Union
Type:
Article
Activation date:
May 28, 2026
Permalink
https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/115311