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An agent-based macroeconomic model with interacting firms, socio- economic opinion formation and optimistic/pessimistic sales expectations
Westerhoff, Frank H. (2025): An agent-based macroeconomic model with interacting firms, socio- economic opinion formation and optimistic/pessimistic sales expectations, in: Bamberg: Otto-Friedrich-Universität, S. 1–20.
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Year of publication:
2025
Pages:
Source/Other editions:
New Journal of Physics., London: IOP, 2010, Jg. 12, Nr. 75035, S. 1–20, ISSN: 1367-2630
Year of first publication:
2010
Language:
English
Abstract:
We propose a simple agent-based macroeconomic model in which frms hold heterogeneous sales expectations. A frm may either optimistically expect an increase in its sales or pessimistically expect the opposite. Whether a given frm is optimistic or pessimistic depends on macroeconomic conditions and the average mood prevailing within its social/local neighborhood. For instance, the probability of a frm taking an optimistic view increases not only during a boom but also with the number of its optimistic neighbors. We show that such an economy may give rise to co-evolving dynamics between the business cycle and the frms’ average sentiment.
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Type:
Article
Activation date:
May 8, 2025
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https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/106915