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Second-best probability weighting
Herold, Florian; Netzer, Nick (2023): Second-best probability weighting, in: Games and economic behavior, Amsterdam [u.a.]: Elsevier, Jg. 138, S. 112–125, doi: 10.1016/j.geb.2022.12.005.
Faculty/Chair:
Author:
Title of the Journal:
Games and economic behavior
ISSN:
1090-2473
0899-8256
Publisher Information:
Year of publication:
2023
Volume:
138
Pages:
Language:
English
Abstract:
Non-linear probability weighting is an integral part of descriptive theories of choice under risk such as prospect theory. But why do these objective errors in information processing exist? Should we try to help individuals overcome their mistake of overweighting small and underweighting large probabilities? In this paper, we argue that probability weighting can be seen as a compensation for preexisting biases in evaluating payoffs. In particular, inverse S-shaped probability weighting is a flipside of S-shaped payoff valuation. Probability distortions may thus have survived as a second-best solution to a fitness maximization problem, and it can be counter-productive to correct them while keeping the value function unchanged.
Keywords: ;  ; 
Probability weighting
Prospect theory
Evolution of preferences
DDC Classification:
RVK Classification:
Type:
Article
Activation date:
July 9, 2025
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https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/108639