Options
How strong is the link between the global financial cycle and national macro-financial dynamics? : A wavelet analysis
Proaño, Christian R.; Quero Virla, Leonardo; Strohsal, Till (2025): How strong is the link between the global financial cycle and national macro-financial dynamics? : A wavelet analysis, in: Journal of international money and finance, Amsterdam [u.a.]: Elsevier, Jg. 159, Nr. 103419, S. 1–15, doi: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103419.
Author:
By:
Proaño, Christian R.; ...
Title of the Journal:
Journal of international money and finance
ISSN:
0261-5606
Publisher Information:
Year of publication:
2025
Volume:
159
Issue:
103419
Pages:
Language:
English
Abstract:
This paper explores the interaction between the global financial cycle (GFCy) and country-specific macro-financial dynamics. We investigate two alternative measures of the GFCy, the CBOE VIX index and Rey (2013)’s global factor, and equity prices, house prices, and aggregate credit volume as national variables. By means of a continuous wavelet analysis and a structural VAR framework, we explore such interaction in the frequency- and time-domain for 12 countries. Our evidence reveals that a strong and uniform relationship between the global financial cycle and national macro-financial series exists only during periods of global financial stress. Beyond those periods, we find significant variation in the relationship – both across time and countries. The choice of the global financial cycle proxy plays a very limited role.
Keywords: ; ; ; ;
Global financial cycle
Macro-financial linkages
Financial stability
Wavelet coherency
SVAR
DDC Classification:
Type:
Article
Activation date:
September 24, 2025
Project(s):
Versioning
Question on publication
Permalink
https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/110445