Options
The Perverse Valuation Effect on Mergers and Acquisitions in Europe
Röhrer, Fabio E.G.; Mateane, Lebogang; Proaño, Christian R. (2025): The Perverse Valuation Effect on Mergers and Acquisitions in Europe, in: Economic Modelling, Amsterdam: Elsevier, Jg. 142, Nr. 106928, S. 1–11, doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106928.
Author:
By:
... ; Proaño, Christian R.
Title of the Journal:
Economic Modelling
ISSN:
1873-6122
0264-9993
Publisher Information:
Year of publication:
2025
Volume:
142
Issue:
106928
Pages:
Language:
English
Abstract:
We investigate the macroeconomic and financial determinants of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in Europe and address the gap in understanding how financial market dynamics influence corporate decisions. While previous literature has examined macroeconomic factors affecting M&A, the impact of (10-year government) bond yields remains underexplored. We fill this gap using panel data of 21 European Union Countries over 2006:Q1–2022:Q2. Across different model specifications we find that bond yields and real gross domestic product growth are robust determinants of M&A, even after controlling for other determinants. A novelty of our study is that rising and higher bond yields are associated with a reduction in M&A activity because investors are shifting their portfolios out of bonds and into riskier assets like equities, thereby increasing acquisition costs. We denote this as a “perverse valuation effect” offering new insights into M&A dynamics.
Keywords: ; ; ;
Mergers and Acquisitions
Macroeconomy and Financial Markets
Long-term government bond yields
European Union
Type:
Article
Activation date:
April 16, 2025
Versioning
Question on publication
Permalink
https://fis.uni-bamberg.de/handle/uniba/107626